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H1B, H4 Visa

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H1B DropBox Experience in Kolkata
Submitted application on 2-JAN-2018 (H1B renewal via drop box - working directly for petitioner - but change of employer 2 years back)
ustraveldocs status says - "Your passport is still with the US Embassy/Consulate"

It has been 3 business days already. (as of 5-JAN-2018)

On Dept of State tracker page it says -
"Application Received" with the following detailed explanation -

"Your case is open and ready for your interview, fingerprints, and required documents. If you have already had your interview, please check your status after two business days. If no interview was required, please check back in two business days for the status of your application.
For more information, please visit U.S. Consulate General Kolkata."

The US Consulate General website has no information on current visa processing times.
But considering that it has been 3+ business days with no status change, it does look like they are going to take it into "administrative processing", thereby putting a spanner on my travel plans.
Tickets are already booked for 10th Jan - which I will probably cancel on 9th Jan, if still no update.
What are my chances based on your current experiences ? (Looks like drop box delays have become more common nowadays)
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